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Showing posts from August, 2024

Kamala-mania!

Given polarization in the U.S. (and elsewhere, including Canada), it's doubtful the enthusiasm for Harris as the presumptive nominee will grow into a full-blown mania. But recent polls suggest she could win by a comfortable margin. Polls of national voting intentions as of today give Harris a 2.8% point lead i.e. at least even with Trump; this reflects a swing to the Democratic ticket at around 6% points since Biden withdrew from the ticket. This is compared to a deficit of 3.5% last week when Harris stepped forward as a presidential candidate. Of the top ranked polls taken since the day of her first rally in Milwaukee (July 23), only one has Trump still ahead nationally. Two are tied and the rest show Harris in the lead by an average of 1.6% points. The question now is whether the race will stay this way through to November 5 or will Harris’ momentum continue to build a strong lead or will Trump and other factors see her sink back to losing numbers? Pessimists, even those who love