"Biden Leads!"
I usually begin these posts with a review of the current polls. Get ready for something different. I want to share a story from U.S. Presidential history to help us understand this political moment – four months before a crucial election. My take on today’s polls will follow this story. I have been re-reading David McCullough's biography of President Harry Truman, especially the part describing his surprising win in 1948. It’s a useful comparison to President Joe Biden’s situation. In June 1948 Truman was almost universally expected to lose in November that year. The unassuming Truman succeeded FDR at FDR’s death a few months after their inauguration. Truman’s first period as President was politically tough. He was compared negatively to the great Roosevelt. The immediate postwar period was difficult. In the 1946 off-year congressional elections, the GOP swept both Houses of Congress and seemed heading to a certain victory in the race for President in 1948. The Republicans had give