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Showing posts from October, 2024

U.S. Election Breaking Democratic?

This post is written and prepared by John Brewin and Nils Engell. Nils is a recent graduate from Trent University and a member of the extended Brewin clan to which he has met all the necessary qualifications including having a passion for elections, including the current U.S. campaign and polls relating thereto, Welcome Nils. Conventional wisdom and many of the polls suggest that the U.S. election is too close to call.  Observers of elections will attest that often elections that seem close will occasionally in the last few weeks break decisively one way or the other.  A look at the data and at history suggests this may will be one of those late-breaking elections   Starting with the polls. Virtually all the polls since the debate and the weeks before that nationally and in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan show Kamala Harris ahead. The way the Electoral College is structured Harris can win the election with the aforementioned rust belt states assuming she wins the safe blue states.